Colorado-Real-Estate-Journal_423368

INSIDE I t’s no secret that Denver’s office market is in stormy waters. The vacancy rate hit an all-time high at 33.8% in second-quarter 2024. This has disproportionately affected Denver’s stock of 1980s builds compared to buildings constructed after 2015, which have a much lower vacancy rate – as low as 5% in the Cherry Creek submarket, according to a recent news article. n Contributing factors. Remote/ hybrid work, our new office norm, has left companies to reconsider how they use their office space. Many are moving to more affordable suburban submarkets or to Cherry Creek to scale up and further define their company culture. Meanwhile, downtown has lost its mojo and often feels like one big construction site in its effort to revive. An upswing of commercial office sales between 2020 and 2022 of $7.7 billion has contributed to the increase in 2023 property tax assessments despite the occupancy problem. The 2025 reassessment will offer some reprieve, leaving Denver County with a hole in its revenue to take care of the pressing issues like homelessness and crime. In addition to these waves, over 5.8 million square feet of sublease space is available – a key indica- tor of market distress – creating additional inner-market competi- tion between office landlords and tenants on the move. As companies are rightsizing their office space, two trends seem to be emerging to entice workers back to the office: 1) building out beautiful, attrac- tive spaces; and 2) finding buildings with great ameni- ties. In either case, it leaves the older Denver office spac- es flailing. The new build- ings are where ten- ants want to be if they choose to be downtown – and that’s a big “if.” What’s more, over the next two years, 2.3 million sf of office space is set to come on line, with 51.1% of this space already pre- leased, according to Avison Young’s second-quarter 2024 market report. So where does that leave Class B office space built in the 1980s? In some unfortunate cases, in default and unable to make loan payments. n Default on CMBS loans. The rise in vacancy rates can be partially attributed to the distress caused by commercial mortgage-backed securities loan defaults as landlords struggle to maintain occupancy and meet debt obligations. CMBS are a way for banks to turn loans into bonds and sell them to inves- tors. This helps spread the risk and makes it easier for companies to get big loans for commercial properties. Generally, CMBS loans offer lower interest rates, higher leverage, and risk distribution but come with less flexibility, prepayment penalties, and a complex structure. As the previously outlined pressures have born down on Denver’s office mar- ket, the less flexible terms of CMBS loans have forced about 65% of Den- ver’s CMBS loans into default and foreclosure – the second- highest CMBS distress in the nation (after Chicago). Buildings like 700 17th Street are in foreclosure and even further below the new vacancy rate watermark. This is due to contract- ing tenant footprints, more attrac- tive submarkets, new buildings with better amenities and downtown’s struggle to stay relevant. Strategies to keep your building afloat In Denver’s challenging office market, landlords need to adopt long-term strategies that focus on flexibility, tenant retention, and value enhancement. n Flexible leasing and digital mar- keting. It is crucial for landlords to provide flexible lease terms – short- er durations and rent concessions are trending up to accommodate the needs of tenants. Similarly, landlords need to leverage technol- ogy to bring their building into the modern age. Buildings hoping to survive this downturn need to uti- lize online platforms, social media and virtual tours to reach a wider audience. Make sure to highlight any unique features and build an interactive vacancy model show- ing the exact location of available spaces. Most sophisticated listing brokers can help with this. Any landlords doing their own renew- als should consider bringing their broker back into the conversation to incentivize them to help keep ten- Be proactive in face of the changing weather, extreme cold days that lie ahead Efficiency A trusted roofing vendor provides owners the best service, product and value Roofing PAGE 8 Building owners and managers should prepare security measures before elections Elections prep Please see Glaser, Page 20 October 2024 PAGES 22-25 PAGE 4 Andrew Glaser Director of property management, Elevate Real Estate Services Stormy waters for Denver office Over the next two years, 2.3 million square feet of office space is set to come online, with 51.1% of this space already preleased according to Avison Young. An upswing of commercial office sales between 2020-2022 of $7.7 billion has contributed to the increase in 2023 property tax assessments despite the occupancy problem. Strategies to keep your builidng afloat